Mamdani Surges to the Top: 32% Odds to Become TIME’s 2026 Person of the Year New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani has surged to the top of prediction-market odds for TIME’s 2026 Person of the Year,

with traders giving him a 32% chance. He currently leads Pope Leo XIV (19%) and Donald Trump (10%), according to Kalshi; other reporting also places Mamdani ahead of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The odds reflect prediction-market sentiment, not an official TIME poll or decision. Still, Mamdani’s rise marks a striking shift in the race, putting the relatively new NYC mayor ahead of globally prominent figures such as Trump, the Pope and Netanyahu. TIME is expected to announce its 2026 Pe

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